Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 2.349655 2.709597 3.112154 3.596818 4.165940 4.814751 5.612894
2025-03-30 1.747863 2.205369 2.770178 3.523365 4.508388 5.762298 7.494488
2025-04-06 1.473220 1.973777 2.634168 3.578532 4.909503 6.741039 9.491446
2025-04-13 1.243385 1.745710 2.443904 3.499310 5.078982 7.395034 11.121297
2025-04-20 1.136588 1.663717 2.431383 3.651525 5.580859 8.580044 13.726623
2025-04-27 1.013397 1.536765 2.329848 3.645922 5.828402 9.399375 15.886934
2025-05-04 0.941121 1.475144 2.315141 3.767145 6.286965 10.618280 18.936461
2025-05-11 0.859539 1.387151 2.244949 3.782712 6.562582 11.559226 21.655406
2025-05-18 0.789392 1.308613 2.178931 3.792863 6.824106 12.507076 24.559241
2025-05-25 0.709485 1.204087 2.055632 3.682638 6.843935 12.998295 26.632251
2025-06-01 0.664893 1.155705 2.024147 3.735142 7.178284 14.149231 30.315360
2025-06-08 0.626394 1.113758 1.998822 3.794519 7.532169 15.392243 34.453992
2025-06-15 0.576986 1.052694 1.942601 3.809968 7.851234 16.733374 39.434049
2025-06-22 0.521148 0.974559 1.847252 3.739054 7.991289 17.750176 44.020304
2025-06-29 0.486521 0.932743 1.816732 3.797630 8.426614 19.535927 51.106560
2025-07-06 0.442171 0.866104 1.727146 3.713069 8.514376 20.500459 56.245503
2025-07-13 0.425046 0.852825 1.746378 3.875580 9.226411 23.201492 67.269675
2025-07-20 0.395508 0.809973 1.696690 3.869597 9.515972 24.854279 75.652340
2025-07-27 0.379261 0.793682 1.703083 3.999051 10.182925 27.709485 88.940661
2025-08-03 0.356382 0.760170 1.666346 4.015677 10.549443 29.789203 100.352152
2025-08-10 0.335277 0.728316 1.629545 4.026519 10.903007 31.920553 112.775881
2025-08-17 0.308286 0.680117 1.548440 3.908803 10.862994 32.812307 120.835490
2025-08-24 0.293849 0.659809 1.532483 3.964872 11.355114 35.568360 137.515890